You need to look at the snow and rain in the north. There has been lots of rain. If the river is at 12 now then you only have 5 feet to reach 17. Dont hold your breath. My bet is it will open. The army core will never open the Morganza spillway " it might flood out all the people living in the spillway" . My thing is open the spillway north of BR would keep the level down under the crescent city connection